Live prediction market odds for Alex Bolt vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-01
This market resolved on 2026-04-01. Tomas Martin Etcheverry was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Alex Bolt vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Tomas Martin EtcheverryWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Alex Bolt | 1% | 10% |
Alex Bolt vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tomas Martin Etcheverry led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex Bolt at 5%.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Alex Bolt at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tomas Martin Etcheverry: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Alex Bolt: 1¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Tomas Martin Etcheverry would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Bolt wins the Etcheverry vs Bolt professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Etcheverry vs Bolt professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Tomas Etcheverry and Alex Bolt in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Alex Bolt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Tomas Etcheverry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
94.8% avg
