Live prediction market odds for Alex Molcan vs. Billy Harris. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Alex Molcan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
Alex Molcan vs. Billy Harris — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alex MolcanWINNER | 99% | 52% |
Billy Harris | 1% | 48% |
Alex Molcan vs. Billy Harris was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Molcan led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Billy Harris at 25%.
Alex Molcan held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alex Molcan, Billy Harris at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 47.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Molcan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Billy Harris: 1¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 47.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Alex Molcan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Alex Molcan
75.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Billy Harris wins the Harris vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Harris vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Billy Harris in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 2026. This market will resolve to "Molcan" if Alex Molcan wins by 2 or more sets than Billy Harris, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Harris." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
