Live prediction market odds for Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Alex Bolt was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alex BoltWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Alex Rybakov | 1% | 42% |
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Bolt led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex Rybakov at 22%.
Alex Bolt held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alex Bolt, Alex Rybakov at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Bolt: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Alex Rybakov: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 41.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Alex Bolt would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Alex Bolt
78.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Bolt wins the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Alex Rybakov in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 2026. This market will resolve to “Bolt” if Alex Bolt wins the first set. It will resolve to “Rybakov” if Alex Rybakov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
