Live prediction market odds for Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Alexandre Muller was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexandre MullerWINNER | 99% | 54% |
Federico Cina | 1% | 47% |
Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexandre Muller led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Federico Cina at 24%.
Alexandre Muller held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexandre Muller, Federico Cina at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 45.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexandre Muller: 99¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Federico Cina: 1¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 45.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Alexandre Muller would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexandre Muller wins the Cina vs Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cina vs Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Federico Cina and Alexandre Muller in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Federico Cina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexandre Muller
76.3% avg
