Live prediction market odds for Alexei Popyrin vs. Alex Michelsen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-03
This market resolved on 2026-04-03. Alexei Popyrin was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alex Michelsen — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexei PopyrinWINNER | 99% | 39% |
Alex Michelsen | 1% | 62% |
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alex Michelsen was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexei Popyrin led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex Michelsen at 32%.
Alexei Popyrin held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexei Popyrin, Alex Michelsen at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 61.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexei Popyrin: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Alex Michelsen: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. The 61.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Alexei Popyrin would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Michelsen wins the Michelsen vs Popyrin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Michelsen vs Popyrin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Alexei Popyrin in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Alexei Popyrin. This market will resolve to 'Alexei Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexei Popyrin
68.8% avg
