Live prediction market odds for Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Liam Draxl was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Liam DraxlWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Alexis Galarneau | 1% | 36% |
Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Liam Draxl led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alexis Galarneau at 19%.
Liam Draxl held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Liam Draxl, Alexis Galarneau at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 35.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Liam Draxl: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Alexis Galarneau: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 35.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Liam Draxl would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Liam Draxl wins the Draxl vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Draxl vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Alexis Galarneau in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Liam Draxl
81.5% avg
