Live prediction market odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Timofey Skatov. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-01
This market resolved on 2026-04-01. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Timofey Skatov — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Camilo Ugo CarabelliWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Timofey Skatov | 1% | 37% |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Timofey Skatov was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Camilo Ugo Carabelli led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Timofey Skatov at 19%.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Timofey Skatov at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 35.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Camilo Ugo Carabelli: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Timofey Skatov: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 35.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Camilo Ugo Carabelli would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli
81.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins the Skatov vs Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Skatov vs Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 31 2026. This market will resolve to “Skatov” if Timofey Skatov wins the first set. It will resolve to “Carabelli” if Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
