Live prediction market odds for Cristian Garin vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Cristian Garin was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
Cristian Garin vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cristian GarinWINNER | 100% | 55% |
Nikoloz Basilashvili | 1% | 46% |
Cristian Garin vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cristian Garin led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Nikoloz Basilashvili at 23%.
Cristian Garin held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cristian Garin, Nikoloz Basilashvili at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 45.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cristian Garin: 100¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Nikoloz Basilashvili: 1¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 45.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Cristian Garin would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Cristian Garin vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Cristian Garin
77.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the Basilashvili vs Garin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Basilashvili vs Garin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Cristian Garin in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 5 2026. This market will resolve to “Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the first set. It will resolve to “Garin” if Cristian Garin wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
