Live prediction market odds for Darwin Blanch vs. Jack Pinnington Jones. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Jack Pinnington Jones was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Darwin Blanch vs. Jack Pinnington Jones — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jack Pinnington JonesWINNER | 99% | 83% |
Darwin Blanch | 1% | 17% |
Darwin Blanch vs. Jack Pinnington Jones was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jack Pinnington Jones led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Darwin Blanch at 9%.
Jack Pinnington Jones held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jack Pinnington Jones, Darwin Blanch at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jack Pinnington Jones: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Darwin Blanch: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 15.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Jack Pinnington Jones would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Darwin Blanch wins the Pinnington Jones vs Blanch professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pinnington Jones vs Blanch professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Jack Pinnington Jones and Darwin Blanch in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Pinnington Jones' if Jack Pinnington Jones advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Jack Pinnington Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jack Pinnington Jones
91.2% avg
