Live prediction market odds for Dusan Lajovic vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-01
This market resolved on 2026-04-01. Rafael Jodar was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
Dusan Lajovic vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Rafael JodarWINNER | 99% | 37% |
Dusan Lajovic | 1% | 64% |
Dusan Lajovic vs. Rafael Jodar was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dusan Lajovic at 33%.
Rafael Jodar held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Rafael Jodar, Dusan Lajovic at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 63.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Dusan Lajovic: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 63.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Rafael Jodar would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Rafael Jodar
68.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dusan Lajovic wins the Jodar vs Lajovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jodar vs Lajovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Dusan Lajovic in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 31 2026. This market will resolve to "Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Dusan Lajovic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lajovic." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
