Live prediction market odds for Fabian Marozsan vs. Jakub Mensik. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Fabian Marozsan vs. Jakub Mensik — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jakub Mensik leads the “Fabian Marozsan vs. Jakub Mensik” event at 64.8% implied probability, followed by Fabian Marozsan at 36.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Fabian Marozsan vs. Jakub Mensik is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jakub Mensik leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Fabian Marozsan at 36%.
Jakub Mensik currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Jakub Mensik, Fabian Marozsan at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jakub Mensik: 64¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Fabian Marozsan: 38¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Jakub Mensik will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Fabian Marozsan wins the Mensik vs Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mensik vs Marozsan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Fabian Marozsan in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jakub Mensik
64.8% avg
