Live prediction market odds for Federico Agustin Gomez vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Tomas Martin Etcheverry was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
Federico Agustin Gomez vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Tomas Martin EtcheverryWINNER | 99% | 74% |
Federico Agustin Gomez | 1% | 27% |
Federico Agustin Gomez vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tomas Martin Etcheverry led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Federico Agustin Gomez at 14%.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Federico Agustin Gomez at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 25.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tomas Martin Etcheverry: 99¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Federico Agustin Gomez: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 25.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Tomas Martin Etcheverry would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry
86.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tomas Martin Etcheverry wins the Etcheverry vs Gomez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Etcheverry vs Gomez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Etcheverry and Federico Agustin Gomez in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for March 31 2026. This market will resolve to “Etcheverry” if Tomas Etcheverry wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gomez” if Federico Agustin Gomez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
