Live prediction market odds for Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Frances Tiafoe leads the “Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane” event at 61.5% implied probability, followed by Terence Atmane at 42.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Terence Atmane is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Frances Tiafoe leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Terence Atmane at 42%.
Frances Tiafoe currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Frances Tiafoe, Terence Atmane at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Frances Tiafoe: 61¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Terence Atmane: 46¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Frances Tiafoe will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Terence Atmane wins the Atmane vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Atmane vs Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Frances Tiafoe in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frances Tiafoe
61.5% avg
