About This Market
ShareFrancisco Cerundolo vs. Ugo Humbert — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Francisco Cerundolo vs. Ugo Humbert. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-25
This market resolved on 2026-03-25. Francisco Cerundolo was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Ugo Humbert — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Francisco CerundoloWINNER | 99% | 48% |
Ugo Humbert | 1% | 53% |
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Ugo Humbert was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Francisco Cerundolo led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ugo Humbert at 27%.
Francisco Cerundolo held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Francisco Cerundolo, Ugo Humbert at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Francisco Cerundolo: 99¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Ugo Humbert: 1¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. The 51.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 73¢ meant the market estimated a 73% chance that Francisco Cerundolo would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 73¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 37% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Francisco Cerundolo
73.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Francisco Cerundolo wins the Humbert vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Humbert vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
Polymarket