Live prediction market odds for Francisco Comesana vs. Ethan Quinn. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Francisco Comesana was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
Francisco Comesana vs. Ethan Quinn — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Francisco ComesanaWINNER | 99% | 53% |
Ethan Quinn | 1% | 47% |
Francisco Comesana vs. Ethan Quinn was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Francisco Comesana led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ethan Quinn at 24%.
Francisco Comesana held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Francisco Comesana, Ethan Quinn at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 46.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Francisco Comesana: 99¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Ethan Quinn: 1¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 46.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that Francisco Comesana would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Francisco Comesana
76.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Francisco Comesana wins the Quinn vs Comesana professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Quinn vs Comesana professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Francisco Comesana in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 5 2026. This market will resolve to “Quinn” if Ethan Quinn wins the first set. It will resolve to “Comesana” if Francisco Comesana wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
