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This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

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Live prediction market odds for Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-04-05

About This Market

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Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry leads the “Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Grigor Dimitrov at 42.0%. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
TM
Tomas Martin EtcheverryARB
59% Avg
Kalshi63¢
Polymarket56¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
62.5%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
56.0%56¢56¢45¢45¢
GD
Grigor DimitrovARB
42% Avg
Kalshi40¢
Polymarket45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
39.5%39¢40¢60¢61¢
PolymarketPolymarket
45.0%45¢45¢56¢56¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry" and why does it matter?

Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tomas Martin Etcheverry leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Grigor Dimitrov at 42%.

What is moving the odds on "Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry"?

Tomas Martin Etcheverry currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Grigor Dimitrov at 42% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tomas Martin Etcheverry: 63¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Grigor Dimitrov: 40¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 7.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Tomas Martin Etcheverry is at 59%?

A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Tomas Martin Etcheverry will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread7.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Grigor Dimitrov vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tomas Martin Etcheverry wins the Etcheverry vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Etcheverry vs Dimitrov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Tomas Etcheverry and Grigor Dimitrov in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Etcheverry' if Tomas Etcheverry advances against Grigor Dimitrov. This market will resolve to 'Grigor Dimitrov' if Grigor Dimitrov advances against Tomas Etcheverry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

59.0% avg