Live prediction market odds for Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Alex Molcan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.
Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alex MolcanWINNER | 99% | 73% |
Jay Clarke | 1% | 28% |
Jay Clarke vs. Alex Molcan was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Molcan led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jay Clarke at 14%.
Alex Molcan held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alex Molcan, Jay Clarke at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Molcan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Jay Clarke: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Alex Molcan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jay Clarke wins the Molcan vs Clarke professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Molcan vs Clarke professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Jay Clarke in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 31 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Jay Clarke. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alex Molcan
85.8% avg
