Live prediction market odds for Jay Clarke vs. Gabriel Ghetu. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Jay Clarke was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Jay Clarke vs. Gabriel Ghetu — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jay ClarkeWINNER | 99% | 83% |
Gabriel Ghetu | 1% | 17% |
Jay Clarke vs. Gabriel Ghetu was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jay Clarke led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Gabriel Ghetu at 9%.
Jay Clarke held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jay Clarke, Gabriel Ghetu at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jay Clarke: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Gabriel Ghetu: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Jay Clarke would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Jay Clarke vs. Gabriel Ghetu” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gabriel Ghetu wins the Ghetu vs Clarke professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ghetu vs Clarke professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Gabriel Ghetu and Jay Clarke in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Ghetu' if Gabriel Ghetu advances against Jay Clarke. This market will resolve to 'Jay Clarke' if Jay Clarke advances against Gabriel Ghetu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jay Clarke
91.0% avg
