Live prediction market odds for Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Stefan Horia Haita. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Stefan Horia Haita — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Stefan Horia Haita is priced at 4.0% implied probability for the “Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Stefan Horia Haita” event. A 6.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Stefan Horia Haita is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Stefan Horia Haita leads at 4% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Stefan Horia Haita currently leads at 4% implied probability. The 6.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Stefan Horia Haita: 1¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. The 6.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 4¢ means the market estimates a 4% probability that Stefan Horia Haita will be the outcome. Buying one share at 4¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 2400% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Stefan Horia Haita wins the Haita vs Schwaerzler professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Haita vs Schwaerzler professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Stefan Haita and Joel Schwaerzler in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Haita' if Stefan Haita advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Stefan Haita. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Stefan Horia Haita
4.0% avg
