Live prediction market odds for Jurij Rodionov vs. George Loffhagen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Jurij Rodionov was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.
Jurij Rodionov vs. George Loffhagen — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jurij RodionovWINNER | 99% | 66% |
George Loffhagen | 1% | 35% |
Jurij Rodionov vs. George Loffhagen was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jurij Rodionov led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include George Loffhagen at 18%.
Jurij Rodionov held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jurij Rodionov, George Loffhagen at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 33.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jurij Rodionov: 99¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. George Loffhagen: 1¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. The 33.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Jurij Rodionov would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Jurij Rodionov
82.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jurij Rodionov wins the Loffhagen vs Rodionov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Loffhagen vs Rodionov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between George Loffhagen and Jurij Rodionov in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 2026. This market will resolve to “Loffhagen” if George Loffhagen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Rodionov” if Jurij Rodionov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
