Live prediction market odds for Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Kamil Majchrzak was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Kamil MajchrzakWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1% | 50% |
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kamil Majchrzak led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 26%.
Kamil Majchrzak held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Kamil Majchrzak, Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Kamil Majchrzak: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Kamil Majchrzak would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Kamil Majchrzak
74.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the Cerundolo vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cerundolo vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Kamil Majchrzak in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to “Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Majchrzak” if Kamil Majchrzak wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
