Live prediction market odds for Kamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Valentin Vacherot leads the “Kamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot” event at 60.0% implied probability, followed by Kamil Majchrzak at 41.0%. A 6.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Valentin Vacherot leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kamil Majchrzak at 41%.
Valentin Vacherot currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Valentin Vacherot, Kamil Majchrzak at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 6.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Valentin Vacherot: 58¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Kamil Majchrzak: 44¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 6.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Valentin Vacherot will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Kamil Majchrzak wins the Vacherot vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vacherot vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Kamil Majchrzak in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Valentin Vacherot
60.0% avg
