Live prediction market odds for Luciano Darderi vs. Hubert Hurkacz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Luciano Darderi vs. Hubert Hurkacz — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Luciano Darderi leads the “Luciano Darderi vs. Hubert Hurkacz” event at 65.5% implied probability, followed by Hubert Hurkacz at 35.0%. A 9.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Luciano Darderi vs. Hubert Hurkacz is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Luciano Darderi leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Hubert Hurkacz at 35%.
Luciano Darderi currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Luciano Darderi, Hubert Hurkacz at 35% are the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Luciano Darderi: 70¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Hubert Hurkacz: 31¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Luciano Darderi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hubert Hurkacz wins the Hurkacz vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Hurkacz vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Luciano Darderi in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Luciano Darderi
65.5% avg
