Live prediction market odds for Mariano Navone vs. Christopher O'Connell. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Mariano Navone was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Mariano Navone vs. Christopher O'Connell — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Mariano NavoneWINNER | 99% | 77% |
Christopher O'Connell | 1% | 24% |
Mariano Navone vs. Christopher O'Connell was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mariano Navone led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Christopher O'Connell at 12%.
Mariano Navone held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Mariano Navone, Christopher O'Connell at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mariano Navone: 99¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Christopher O'Connell: 1¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Mariano Navone would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mariano Navone wins the O'Connell vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the O'Connell vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Christopher O'Connell and Mariano Navone in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for March 30 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christopher O'Connell' if Christopher O'Connell advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Christopher O'Connell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mariano Navone
87.8% avg
