Live prediction market odds for Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Alexander Shevchenko. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Alexander Shevchenko was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Alexander Shevchenko — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexander ShevchenkoWINNER | 99% | 56% |
Roberto Bautista Agut | 1% | 44% |
Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Alexander Shevchenko was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexander Shevchenko led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Roberto Bautista Agut at 23%.
Alexander Shevchenko held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexander Shevchenko, Roberto Bautista Agut at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 43.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexander Shevchenko: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Roberto Bautista Agut: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 43.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Alexander Shevchenko would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Alexander Shevchenko
77.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Roberto Bautista Agut wins the Shevchenko vs Bautista Agut professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Shevchenko vs Bautista Agut professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Roberto Bautista Agut in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 5 2026. This market will resolve to “Shevchenko” if Alexander Shevchenko wins the first set. It will resolve to “Agut” if Roberto Bautista Agut wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
