Live prediction market odds for Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Benjamin Bonzi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Roberto Bautista Agut was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Benjamin Bonzi — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Roberto Bautista AgutWINNER | 99% | 55% |
Benjamin Bonzi | 1% | 45% |
Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Benjamin Bonzi was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Roberto Bautista Agut led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Benjamin Bonzi at 23%.
Roberto Bautista Agut held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Roberto Bautista Agut, Benjamin Bonzi at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 44.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Roberto Bautista Agut: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Benjamin Bonzi: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 44.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Roberto Bautista Agut would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Roberto Bautista Agut wins the Bonzi vs Bautista Agut professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bonzi vs Bautista Agut professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Roberto Bautista Agut in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 4 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roberto Bautista Agut
77.0% avg
