Live prediction market odds for Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Learner Tien. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-03
This market resolved on 2026-04-03. Roman Andres Burruchaga was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Learner Tien — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Roman Andres BurruchagaWINNER | 99% | 40% |
Learner Tien | 1% | 60% |
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs. Learner Tien was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Roman Andres Burruchaga led the market at 70% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Learner Tien at 31%.
Roman Andres Burruchaga held the lead at 70% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Roman Andres Burruchaga, Learner Tien at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 59.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Roman Andres Burruchaga: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Learner Tien: 1¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. The 59.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ meant the market estimated a 70% chance that Roman Andres Burruchaga would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 70¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 43% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Roman Andres Burruchaga wins the Tien vs Burruchaga professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tien vs Burruchaga professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Learner Tien and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roman Andres Burruchaga
69.5% avg
