Live prediction market odds for Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Corentin Moutet was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Corentin MoutetWINNER | 99% | 86% |
Taha Baadi | 1% | 14% |
Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Corentin Moutet led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Taha Baadi at 8%.
Corentin Moutet held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Corentin Moutet, Taha Baadi at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 13.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Corentin Moutet: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Taha Baadi: 1¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 13.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that Corentin Moutet would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Corentin Moutet
92.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Corentin Moutet wins the Moutet vs Baadi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Moutet vs Baadi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Taha Baadi in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 1 2026. This market will resolve to “Moutet” if Corentin Moutet wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baadi” if Taha Baadi wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
