Live prediction market odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Ben Shelton. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-03
This market resolved on 2026-04-03. Thiago Agustin Tirante was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 65%.
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Ben Shelton — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Thiago Agustin TiranteWINNER | 99% | 32% |
Ben Shelton | 1% | 69% |
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Ben Shelton was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Thiago Agustin Tirante led the market at 65% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ben Shelton at 35%.
Thiago Agustin Tirante held the lead at 65% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Thiago Agustin Tirante, Ben Shelton at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 67.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Thiago Agustin Tirante: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Ben Shelton: 1¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. The 67.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ meant the market estimated a 65% chance that Thiago Agustin Tirante would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 65¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 54% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Ben Shelton” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ben Shelton wins the Shelton vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Shelton vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 3 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
65.3% avg
