Live prediction market odds for Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-03
This market resolved on 2026-04-03. Titouan Droguet was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Titouan DroguetWINNER | 99% | 29% |
Sebastian Baez | 1% | 72% |
Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Titouan Droguet led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sebastian Baez at 36%.
Titouan Droguet held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Titouan Droguet, Sebastian Baez at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 70.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Titouan Droguet: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Sebastian Baez: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. The 70.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Titouan Droguet would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Titouan Droguet wins the Baez vs Droguet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baez vs Droguet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Titouan Droguet in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for April 2 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Titouan Droguet. This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Titouan Droguet
63.8% avg
