Live prediction market odds for Ugo Humbert vs. Moise Kouame. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Ugo Humbert was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Ugo Humbert vs. Moise Kouame — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ugo HumbertWINNER | 99% | 83% |
Moise Kouame | 1% | 18% |
Ugo Humbert vs. Moise Kouame was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ugo Humbert led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Moise Kouame at 9%.
Ugo Humbert held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ugo Humbert, Moise Kouame at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ugo Humbert: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Moise Kouame: 1¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Ugo Humbert would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Moise Kouame wins the Kouame vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kouame vs Humbert professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Moise Kouame and Ugo Humbert in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Ugo Humbert. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Moise Kouame. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ugo Humbert
90.8% avg
