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Live prediction market odds for Australia vs Ireland. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Australia vs Ireland. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-18
This market resolved on 2026-02-18. Australia was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AustraliaWINNER | 99% | 51% |
Ireland | 1% | 50% |
Australia vs Ireland was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Australia led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ireland at 25%.
Australia held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Australia, Ireland at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 48.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Australia: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Ireland: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 48.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Australia would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Australia is the winner of the Australia vs Ireland professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Australia
74.8% avg