About This Market
ShareThis market has resolved.
Live prediction market odds for Australia vs Sri Lanka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Live prediction market odds for Australia vs Sri Lanka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-23
This market resolved on 2026-02-23. Sri Lanka was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Sri LankaWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Australia | 1% | 50% |
Australia vs Sri Lanka was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sri Lanka led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Australia at 26%.
Sri Lanka held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sri Lanka, Australia at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sri Lanka: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Australia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Sri Lanka would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Australia vs Sri Lanka” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Australia is the winner of the Australia vs Sri Lanka professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sri Lanka
74.5% avg