Live prediction market odds for Big 12 Regular Season Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-07
Arizona leads the “Big 12 Regular Season Champion” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Baylor (25.5%), BYU (25.5%), Cincinnati (25.5%), and Colorado (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Big 12 Regular Season Champion is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arizona leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Baylor at 26%, BYU at 26%, Cincinnati at 26%.
Arizona currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Arizona, Baylor at 26% and BYU at 26% and Cincinnati at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arizona: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Baylor: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. BYU: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Cincinnati: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Arizona will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Arizona
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arizona St. is the 2025-26 Men's College Basketball Big 12 regular season champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
If multiple participants are officially recognized as co-champions, then the markets for those participants will resolve such that “Yes” holders receive $1 / [number of co-champions]
25.5% avg
