About This Market
ShareArsenal FC leads the “Brentford vs Arsenal” event at 25.5% implied probability, followed by Brentford FC at 25.5%. A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Brentford vs Arsenal. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-12
Arsenal FC leads the “Brentford vs Arsenal” event at 25.5% implied probability, followed by Brentford FC at 25.5%. A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Brentford vs Arsenal is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arsenal FC leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Brentford FC at 26%.
Arsenal FC currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Arsenal FC, Brentford FC at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arsenal FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Brentford FC: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Arsenal FC will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Arsenal FC
25.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Brentford wins the Brentford vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Brentford vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.