Live prediction market odds for Air Force Falcons vs. Fresno State Bulldogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-14
This market resolved on 2026-02-14. Fresno State Bulldogs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-airf-frest-2026-02-14 : Sports event: Air Force Falcons vs. Fresno State Bulldogs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Fresno State BulldogsWINNER | 99% | 99% |
Air Force Falcons | 100% | 60% |
Air Force Falcons vs. Fresno State Bulldogs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fresno State Bulldogs led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Air Force Falcons at 80%.
Fresno State Bulldogs held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Fresno State Bulldogs, Air Force Falcons at 80% were the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fresno State Bulldogs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Air Force Falcons: 100¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. The 40.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Fresno State Bulldogs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Fresno State Bulldogs
99.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Air Force wins the Air Force at Fresno St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Air Force at Fresno St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
