Live prediction market odds for Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-17
This market resolved on 2026-02-17. New Mexico Lobos was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-airf-nmx-2026-02-17 : Sports event: Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New Mexico LobosWINNER | 99% | 98% | 99% |
Air Force Falcons | 51% | 2% | 2% |
Air Force Falcons vs. New Mexico Lobos was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Mexico Lobos led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Air Force Falcons at 18%.
New Mexico Lobos held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Mexico Lobos, Air Force Falcons at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 49.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Mexico Lobos: 99¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Air Force Falcons: 51¢ on Kalshi, 2¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 49.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that New Mexico Lobos would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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New Mexico Lobos
98.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Mexico wins the Air Force at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Air Force at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 17, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
