Live prediction market odds for Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. James Madison Dukes. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-14
This market resolved on 2026-02-14. James Madison Dukes was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-applst-jmad-2026-02-14 : Sports event: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. James Madison Dukes - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
James Madison DukesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 48% |
Appalachian State Mountaineers | — | 5% | 54% |
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. James Madison Dukes was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). James Madison Dukes led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Appalachian State Mountaineers at 29%.
James Madison Dukes held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind James Madison Dukes, Appalachian State Mountaineers at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 52.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: James Madison Dukes: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 48¢ on ProphetX. Appalachian State Mountaineers: 5¢ on Polymarket, 54¢ on ProphetX. The 52.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that James Madison Dukes would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. James Madison Dukes” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
James Madison Dukes
82.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf James Madison wins the Appalachian St. at James Madison men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Appalachian St. at James Madison men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
