Live prediction market odds for Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. Baylor Bears was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
cbb-arzst-bayl-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Baylor BearsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Arizona State Sun Devils | 100% | 5% |
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Baylor Bears led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona State Sun Devils at 53%.
Baylor Bears held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Baylor Bears, Arizona State Sun Devils at 53% were the next closest contenders. The 95.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Baylor Bears: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Arizona State Sun Devils: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 95.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Baylor Bears would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Baylor Bears” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Baylor Bears
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Baylor wins the Arizona St. at Baylor men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Arizona St. at Baylor men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
