Live prediction market odds for Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Florida Gators was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
cbb-ark-fl-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Florida GatorsWINNER | 83% | 83% | 98% |
Arkansas Razorbacks | 18% | 18% | 20% |
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Florida Gators led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arkansas Razorbacks at 19%.
Florida Gators held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Florida Gators, Arkansas Razorbacks at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 15.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Florida Gators: 83¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Arkansas Razorbacks: 18¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket, 20¢ on ProphetX. The 15.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Florida Gators would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Florida Gators
87.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arkansas wins the Arkansas at Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Arkansas at Florida men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 28, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
