Live prediction market odds for Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-03
This market resolved on 2026-02-03. Bowling Green Falcons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
cbb-ballst-bowlgr-2026-02-03 : Sports event: Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Bowling Green FalconsWINNER | 99% | 86% |
Ball State Cardinals | 1% | 15% |
Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Bowling Green Falcons led the market at 92% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ball State Cardinals at 8%.
Bowling Green Falcons held the lead at 92% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Bowling Green Falcons, Ball State Cardinals at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 13.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Bowling Green Falcons: 99¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Ball State Cardinals: 1¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. The 13.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 92¢ meant the market estimated a 92% chance that Bowling Green Falcons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 92¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 9% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Bowling Green Falcons
92.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Ball St. wins the Ball St. at Bowling Green men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Ball St. at Bowling Green men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 3, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
