Live prediction market odds for Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Providence was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
cbb-butl-prov-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
ProvidenceWINNER | 99% | 59% |
Butler Bulldogs | 1% | 41% |
Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Providence led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Butler Bulldogs at 21%.
Providence held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Providence, Butler Bulldogs at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Providence: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Butler Bulldogs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 40.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Providence would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Providence
79.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Providence wins the Butler at Providence men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Butler at Providence men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
