Live prediction market odds for Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-20
This market resolved on 2026-02-20. California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
cbb-calpol-hawaii-2026-02-19 : Sports event: Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
California Golden Bears Poly MustangsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution.
California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cal Poly wins the Cal Poly at Hawai'i men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Cal Poly at Hawai'i men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 20, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
