Live prediction market odds for Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-07
This market resolved on 2026-02-07. UC Davis was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
cbb-calpol-ucdv-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
UC DavisWINNER | 99% | 79% | 70% |
Cal Poly | 1% | 21% | 32% |
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Davis Aggies was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UC Davis led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cal Poly at 18%.
UC Davis held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind UC Davis, Cal Poly at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 31.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UC Davis: 99¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket, 70¢ on ProphetX. Cal Poly: 1¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket, 32¢ on ProphetX. The 31.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that UC Davis would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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UC Davis
82.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cal Poly wins the Cal Poly at UC Davis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Cal Poly at UC Davis men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
