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Sharecbb-calpol-ucirv-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Irvine Anteaters - cbb
Live prediction market odds for Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Irvine Anteaters. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. UC Irvine Anteaters was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
cbb-calpol-ucirv-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Irvine Anteaters - cbb
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
UC Irvine AnteatersWINNER | 80% | 81% | 96% |
California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs | 21% | 20% | 11% |
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Irvine Anteaters was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). UC Irvine Anteaters led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs at 17%.
UC Irvine Anteaters held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind UC Irvine Anteaters, California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: UC Irvine Anteaters: 80¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. California Golden Bears Poly Mustangs: 21¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 15.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that UC Irvine Anteaters would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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UC Irvine Anteaters
85.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf UC Irvine wins the Cal Poly at UC Irvine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Cal Poly at UC Irvine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.