Live prediction market odds for CSUN Matadors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-05
This market resolved on 2026-02-05. Cal State Northridge was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
cbb-csunr-calpol-2026-02-05 : Sports event: CSUN Matadors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cal State NorthridgeWINNER | 99% | 44% |
CSUN Matadors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cal State Northridge led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution.
Cal State Northridge held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cal State Northridge: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Cal State Northridge would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Cal State Northridge
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cal Poly wins the Cal State Northridge at Cal Poly men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Cal State Northridge at Cal Poly men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 5, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
