Live prediction market odds for Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-18
This market resolved on 2026-02-18. Dayton Flyers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
cbb-day-gmsn-2026-02-18 : Sports event: Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Dayton FlyersWINNER | 99% | 43% | 97% |
George Mason Patriots | 1% | 58% | 8% |
Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Dayton Flyers led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include George Mason Patriots at 22%.
Dayton Flyers held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dayton Flyers, George Mason Patriots at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 56.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Dayton Flyers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. George Mason Patriots: 1¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 56.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 80¢ meant the market estimated a 80% chance that Dayton Flyers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 80¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 25% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Dayton Flyers
79.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dayton wins the Dayton at George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Dayton at George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
