Live prediction market odds for Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-21
cbb-duke-mich-2026-02-21 : Sports event: Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines - cbb
Michigan Wolverines leads the “Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines” event at 46.1% implied probability, followed by Duke Blue Devils at 54.7%. A 57.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Michigan Wolverines leads at 46% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Duke Blue Devils at 55%.
Michigan Wolverines currently leads at 46% implied probability. Behind Michigan Wolverines, Duke Blue Devils at 55% are the next closest contenders. The 57.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Michigan Wolverines: 69¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. Duke Blue Devils: 33¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 89¢ on ProphetX. The 57.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 46¢ means the market estimates a 46% probability that Michigan Wolverines will be the outcome. Buying one share at 46¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 117% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Michigan Wolverines
46.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Michigan wins the Michigan at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Michigan at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
