Live prediction market odds for Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-02
This market resolved on 2026-03-02. Duke Blue Devils was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
cbb-duke-ncst-2026-03-02 : Sports event: Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack - cbb
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Duke Blue DevilsWINNER | 83% | 82% | 99% |
North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19% | 19% | 3% |
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Duke Blue Devils led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include North Carolina State Wolfpack at 13%.
Duke Blue Devils held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Duke Blue Devils, North Carolina State Wolfpack at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 17.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Duke Blue Devils: 83¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. North Carolina State Wolfpack: 19¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 17.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Duke Blue Devils would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Duke Blue Devils
88.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf North Carolina St. wins the Duke at North Carolina St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Duke at North Carolina St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
