Live prediction market odds for Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-07
cbb-duke-ncar-2026-02-07 : Sports event: Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels - cbb
Duke leads the “Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by North Carolina at 44.2%. A 86.1% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Duke leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include North Carolina at 44%.
Duke currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Duke, North Carolina at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 86.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Duke: 1¢ on Kalshi, 85¢ on Polymarket, 87¢ on ProphetX. North Carolina: 99¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket, 18¢ on ProphetX. The 86.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Duke will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Duke
57.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf North Carolina wins the Duke at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Duke at North Carolina men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 7, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
